Advertisement
Username Password  
Forgot Password?
New Here? Click here to sign up.



  BLOGS
Blogs Home
 
Sunday Mar 26th, 2017  

 Kentucky Derby Contenders Have a Leg Up in 2011 Preakness Stakes
posted 5 years ago

Kentucky Derby Contenders Have a Leg Up in 2011 Preakness Stakes - Horses exiting the Kentucky Derby have a leg up in the 2011 Preakness Stakes. A remarkable 23 of the past 26 Derby runners captured the second leg of the Triple Crown.

The exceptions came during the 21st Century: Rachel Alexandra, ’09; Bernardini, ’06; and Red Bullet, ’00.

Four Derby champs the past decade were successful at Pimlico: Big Brown, ’08; Smarty Jones, ’04; Funny Cide, ’03; and War Emblem, ’02. Two others ran second: Mine That Bird ’09 and Fusaichi Pegasus in ’00.

Three others that failed at Churchill Downs during the same period triumphed in the Preakness: Curlin, ’07; Afleet Alex, ’05; and Point Given, ’01.

Horses that skipped the Derby en route to Pimlico Preakness had their best showing during the early ’80s. Three horses that bypassed Louisville captured the Preakness: Deputed Testimony, ’83; Alomas’s Ruler, ’82; and Codex, ’80.

Preakness Horse Racing Odds favorites haven’t let down the betting public during the past decade, winning seven times, including five that exited the Derby.

Meanwhile, double-digit winners have been few and far between – only 10 since ’75 when the longest shot in history, Master Derby, returned $40 on the front end. The last was Bernardini, who rewarded backers with $27.80 for $2.

Among those 3-year-olds confirmed for the Preakness are Derby winner Animal Kingdom, third-place finisher Mucho Macho Man and beaten favorite Dialed In, who ran eighth. Shackleford, fourth, and Santiva, sixth, are possible.

2011 Kentucky Derby Results In addition, there could be as many as nine newcomers in the field limited to 14 starters on May 21.

My betting formula for the Preakness includes some of the usual handicapping tools: form, race conditions, connections, etc.

First and foremost, as far as I’m concerned, any contender should exhibit form, plus necessary morning workouts since the last outing.

For example, 3-year-olds that haven’t raced in more than 30 days should show a work at Pimlico and ample evidence they have a history of performing well off layoffs. More 2011 Kentucky Derby results

It’s a good idea to visualize how the Preakness will be run: who the front-runners will be, what contenders will be stalking and which runners have the best chance of closing.

One myth perpetuated over the years ballyhoos Pimlico as a speed-favoring surface with sharp turns that favor front-running horses. Actually, the turns are almost identical to Churchill Downs.

However, keep in mind horses in the lead turning for home have the edge since the stretch is 168 feet shorter that Churchill Downs’ 1,320 feet.

The largest winning margin in the Preakness came seven years ago when Smarty Jones cruised to an 11 ½-length victory, besting Funny Cide’s record of 9 ¾ lengths.

Ten lengths was the winning margin in the inaugural Preakness in 1873. The aptly named Survivor set that record.

Since the ’90s, I’ve wagered on several winners of the Preakness who disappointed in the Derby: Hansel, ’91, who also won the Belmont; Timber Country, ’95; Louis Quatorze, ’96, who led at every call; Point Given, who also captured the ’01 Belmont; and Afleet Alex, who duplicated that feat in ’05. 2011 Preakness Stakes Odds



 

0 Comments | Add a comment  

 

FAVORITE BLOGS

Eagles injury update

posted 8 years ago
MLB Clubs in the market for starting pitching

posted 5 years ago
NFL Betting: Chicago Bears Martz refuses extension offer

posted 5 years ago
NBA Recap: Cavaliers Defeat Miami 102-90 March 29th 2011

posted 5 years ago
Minnesota Twins Matt Capps still is going to be the closer?

posted 5 years ago
March Madness Picks 2011 - Tar Heels Look For Revenge, when Play Against Blackbirds

posted 6 years ago
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics Sunday

posted 5 years ago
For Dallas and Pac, answer is to attack

posted 8 years ago
Early thoughts from hoop drafts

posted 8 years ago
Free Picks and Plays for Friday Night

posted 5 years ago
Strikeforce Herschel Walker next will Finally face a quality opponent MMA Odds

posted 5 years ago
How to whip them Cowboys

posted 8 years ago
Vegas Spreads College Basketball Blow Out Game Of The Year Wednesday!

posted 4 years ago
Ex-Cardinal Leonard Davis right at home with Dallas Cowboys

posted 8 years ago
Matt The Moose NBA Total Of The Year Friday Night - Plus weekend free

posted 4 years ago
UFC Picks- Rua, Jones Set For Light-Heavyweight Championship Showdown UFC Odds

posted 6 years ago
UFC Cruz Faber Betting - Who Will win the Main event?

posted 5 years ago
Jered Weaver’s last word

posted 8 years ago
Stop the nonsense. LSU is #1. USC plays cupcakes and their mothers wear combat boots!

posted 9 years ago
Los Angeles Defeats Portland 111-107 - Recap

posted 4 years ago
Vegas Spreads (10-3-1) Run College Football Bowl Game Of The Year Guaranteed!

posted 4 years ago
Minnesota Vikings interested in Grabbing a safety?

posted 5 years ago
UFC 135 Picks - Quinton Jackson vs Jon Jones Can Rampage pull upset?

posted 5 years ago
UFC Stephan Bonnar Out with a Broken Arm

posted 5 years ago
Cowboys internal investigation clears Adam Jones

posted 8 years ago
Hasselbeck questionable vs. Packers

posted 8 years ago
Preview: Kentucky at Florida Tuesday

posted 4 years ago
2011 MLB All Star Who Will win?

posted 5 years ago
Notre Dame offense vs. North Carolina defense

posted 8 years ago
MLB names League Championship Series umpires

posted 8 years ago

  Return to Blogs








My Home | My Picks | My Profile | Betting Tools | Groups | Blogs | How It Works | Rules | About | Contact

Copyright © 2017 Odds Breakers. All rights reserved.